HUL Q2 Preview: Flat Earnings Growth Amidst Stable Demand and Rising Costs

The upcoming quarter results of Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) for FY25 reflect a steady yet challenged performance. Analysts predict the company will experience flat earnings growth due to muted demand and elevated commodity prices. This article offers a comprehensive preview of HUL’s Q2 results.

Table of Contents
Financial Performance Expectations
Volume Growth Analysis
Demand Trends
Operating Performance Insights
Segment Performance Expectations
Key Challenges Ahead
Conclusion

Financial Performance Expectations

HUL’s net profit is projected to be flat at ₹2,670 crore, slightly up from ₹2,668 crore in the previous year. Meanwhile, revenue growth is anticipated to be around 3%, reaching ₹15,737 crore compared to ₹15,276 crore in the same quarter last year.

Volume Growth Analysis

The company is expected to witness a volume growth of approximately 5%. This growth is notable as the gap between volume and value is narrowing, a trend attributed primarily to price hikes in certain product portfolios.

Demand has shown stability quarter-on-quarter, with rural areas outperforming their urban counterparts. HUL expects a year-on-year domestic volume growth of 5%, indicating a robust demand backdrop.

Operating Performance Insights

Looking at operating performance, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) are predicted to remain stable at ₹3,705 crore, a slight increase from ₹3,694 crore the previous year. However, the EBITDA margin is likely to narrow by 106 basis points to 23.54%, down from 24.60% a year earlier due to various cost pressures including higher advertising expenses, increased royalty payments, and the termination of GSK consignment sales.

Segment Performance Expectations

Different segments are expected to deliver varying levels of growth. The Home Care segment is projected to grow by 5.3% year-on-year. The Beauty and Personal Care (BPC) segment is estimated to have a like-for-like growth of 3%, mainly powered by the personal wash category. In contrast, the Foods and Refreshments segment could see a growth of 4.5%, a significant rise from 1.5% in the previous quarter.

Key Challenges Ahead

Despite the positive outlook for several segments, key challenges remain. The company’s gross margin may be adversely affected by inflation in essential commodity prices. HUL will need to closely monitor the outlook for rural demand compared to urban trends, assess competitive intensity, and stay alert to fluctuations in raw material prices.

Conclusion

In summary, HUL’s upcoming quarter results portray a stable yet challenged performance amid external economic factors and evolving consumer demand. Nevertheless, certain indicators, particularly the strength in rural demand, provide a glimmer of optimism for the company. The implications of these dynamics are critical as HUL navigates through the upcoming financial year.

FAQ

Q: What are the expected results for HUL’s Q2 FY25?

A: HUL is projected to see a net profit of ₹2,670 crore with a revenue growth of around 3%, reaching ₹15,737 crore.

Q: How has demand been trending for HUL’s products?

A: Demand has remained stable quarter-on-quarter, with rural areas outperforming urban demand.

Q: What challenges does HUL face in the upcoming quarter?

A: The key challenges include inflation affecting gross margins and the need to monitor shifts in demand trends and competitive intensity.

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